Alanyaspor 1-3 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

Alanyaspor
1-3 HT 1-0
Samsunspor
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
18%
4.13
X/2
13%
7.87
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.2
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.59/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.46
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.89 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
396 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.03.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L
17.10.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
01.06.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TP1L
28.05.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TP1L
09.02.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L

Alanyaspor 1-3 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-3
AWAY Samsunspor
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor beat Alanyaspor 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 63% of the ball to Samsunspor's 37%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 3.00 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Alanyaspor 1-3 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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