Fenerbahçe 6-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
10.65
2-3 Goals
38%
2.61
4-5 Goals
30%
2.29
6+ Goals
14%
3.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.13
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
34.0
X/1
18%
3.67
X/2
8%
34.0
X/X
5%
17.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.6
2/2
5%
34.0
2/X
6%
34.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.3pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.66/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/4.36
+4% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -42%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
446 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
03.06.2017 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
15.01.2017 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-2 HT 1-2 Adanaspor Adanaspor TSL
27.03.2004 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
24.10.2003 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor TSL
06.04.2003 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
18.10.2002 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 1-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
6-0
AWAY Adanaspor
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Adanaspor 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 67% of the ball to Adanaspor's 33%, shots finished 19-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.33 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Adanaspor?

Fenerbahçe 6-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 65%, draw 18%, Adanaspor 17%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5
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