Antalyaspor 2-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
9%
8.99
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
12%
6.94
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.69/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.94
-16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.38 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
258 Passes 339
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
09.11.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
25.11.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Pendikspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor edged past Pendikspor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 57% of the ball to Pendikspor's 43%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Antalyaspor and 0.00 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 50%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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