Başakşehir FK 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
23.45
X/1
14%
3.39
X/2
5%
20.85
X/X
11%
7.72
2/1
10%
23.45
2/2
6%
16.65
2/X
5%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.34/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.17
-5% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
491 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Boluspor
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
13.04.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-1 HT 2-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
08.12.2013 Boluspor Boluspor 0-4 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
21.07.2008 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK KZC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK nicked a narrow win over Boluspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 68% of the ball to Boluspor's 32%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.33 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor?

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 59%, draw 24%, Boluspor 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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