Gaziantep FK 1-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.03
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.77
X/2
10%
6.44
X/X
14%
4.59
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.62
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.43/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bodrum FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.09.2017 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK nicked a narrow win over Bodrum FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 61% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 39%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Bodrum FK?

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 44%, draw 29%, Bodrum FK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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