Adana Demirspor 2-2 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
5.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
33%
2.52
6+ Goals
18%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.46
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
23.0
X/1
12%
3.51
X/2
6%
20.1
X/X
8%
8.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.9
2/2
8%
14.6
2/X
4%
22.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-11.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.32/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/3.11
+36% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
2-2
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor and 24Erzincanspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Adana Demirspor at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 57% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 43%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Adana Demirspor 2-2 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 64%, draw 18%, 24Erzincanspor 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adana Demirspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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