Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 32% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.44/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.18
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.7 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
292 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
25.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.03.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L
17.10.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
01.06.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TP1L
28.05.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TP1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.12 xG 0.35
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
243 Passes 577
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Samsunspor had 34% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 66%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 34%, draw 29%, Alanyaspor 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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