Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.06
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.98
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.59
No
43%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.96
2-3
46%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.13
6+
6%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Samsunspor The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Alanyaspor The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
292 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
25.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.03.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L
17.10.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
01.06.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TP1L
28.05.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TP1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1 - 1
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.12 xG 0.35
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
243 Passes 577
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 42% lean on Samsunspor didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 2.06, about 49% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Samsunspor had 34% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 66%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor Result & Final Score

Samsunspor 1 - 1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 42%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samsunspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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