Beşiktaş 2-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
7%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 34% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
9%
11.9
X/X
15%
6.46
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
8%
8.66
2/X
6%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.81/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.80
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.8 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
419 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.12.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.10.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
19.03.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
30.10.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.05.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 7-0 HT 5-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
10.01.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-2
AWAY Hatayspor
2.55 xG 1.09
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
485 Passes 184
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş and Hatayspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 69% of the ball to Hatayspor's 31%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.55 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.17 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor?

Beşiktaş 2-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 53%, draw 26%, Hatayspor 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
18 May 2024
19:00 Kayserispor vs Konyaspor Analysis →
19:00 Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
19:00 Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor Analysis →
19:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Pendikspor Analysis →
19:00 Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor Analysis →
19:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →