Başakşehir FK 0-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
11%
6.5
X/X
6%
4.56
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.61
2/X EV+ ✗
15%
13.2
Value flag · 2/X at 13.2 — our 15% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -32%
1.52/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.62
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.3 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
385 Passes 377
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.06.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
22.05.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 3-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
25.12.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
0-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.97 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Başakşehir FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 55% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.97 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Başakşehir FK 0-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 41%, draw 28%, Trabzonspor 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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