Kayserispor 2-2 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.61
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
26%
3.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
9.52
X/1
7%
6.66
X/2
5%
7.06
X/X
15%
3.35
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
21%
4.34
2/X
5%
9.65
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.95 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
35%
-5.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.24
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.9 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Konyaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
07.05.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-2 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.11.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
13.03.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 2-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
23.10.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.04.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
2-2
AWAY Konyaspor
1.51 xG 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
199 Passes 390
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor and Konyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kayserispor had 37% of the ball to Konyaspor's 63%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kayserispor and 1.83 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Konyaspor?

Kayserispor 2-2 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 39%, draw 29%, Konyaspor 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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