Boston United 0-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
4.71
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
59%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
10%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.85
1/2
6%
19.05
1/X
5%
17.1
X/1
4%
12.0
X/2 EV+ ✓
35%
4.18
X/X
14%
6.95
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
17%
1.8
2/X
9%
15.3
Value flag · X/2 at 4.18 — our 35% vs market 18.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
18%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
59%
Away Win
62%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 67%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
0.87/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.87
-22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY York City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2025 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
25.01.2025 Boston United Boston United 3-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
26.08.2024 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
22.03.2022 York City York City 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
26.10.2021 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İCON
08.02.2020 Boston United Boston United 3-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İCON
POST-MATCH Boston United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Boston United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Boston United and 0.83 for York City.

What was the final score of Boston United vs York City?

Boston United 0-1 York City in the England - National League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Boston United 14%, draw 27%, York City 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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