AFC Hornchurch 3-0 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.51
-3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.12.2025 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 HT 0-2 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
3-0
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch ran out comfortable winners over Dagenham & Redbridge 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; AFC Hornchurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 45% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 55%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

AFC Hornchurch 3-0 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - Conference on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 40%, draw 29%, Dagenham & Redbridge 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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