Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - Conference, 3 Apr 2026)

Tonbridge Angels

1-2 HT 0-2

Ebbsfleet United

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗

England - Conference – 2025/2026

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

26%

3.17

Draw

30%

3.45

Away

44%

1.98

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49%

1.91

Over 2.5

51%

1.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes

62%

1.68

38%

2.06

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

23%

3.32

2-3 Goals

39%

1.74

4-5 Goals EV+ ✗

28%

3.21

6+ Goals

10%

11.7

Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

1/2

1/X

11%

X/1

X/2

15%

X/X

14%

2/1

2/2

22%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

26%

Home Win

28%

-2.1pp

30%

Draw

26%

+4.6pp

44%

Away Win

46%

-2.5pp

49%

Under 2.5

48%

+0.9pp

51%

Over 2.5

52%

-0.9pp

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

+6.2pp

38%

BTTS No

44%

-6.2pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tonbridge Angels v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 32%

Head to Head

AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 50%

-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%

1.28/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.87

-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -35%

48% Ball Possession 52%

11 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 6

284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Tonbridge Angels

1W-1D-4L

AWAY Ebbsfleet United

0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33

41% Ball Possession 59%

9 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 5

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

26.12.2025 Ebbsfleet United

1-0 HT 0-0

Tonbridge Angels İCON

23.07.2024 Tonbridge Angels

0-3 HT 0-3

Ebbsfleet United HAZ

07.07.2023 Tonbridge Angels

0-1

Ebbsfleet United HAZ

11.03.2023 Tonbridge Angels

1-1 HT 0-1

Ebbsfleet United İCON

12.11.2022 Ebbsfleet United

1-2 HT 0-1

Tonbridge Angels İCON

23.04.2022 Tonbridge Angels

0-1 HT 0-1

Ebbsfleet United İCON

Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Tonbridge Angels

1-2

AWAY Ebbsfleet United

51% Ball Possession 49%

8 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 4

2 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 51% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 26%, draw 30%, Ebbsfleet United 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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