Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ebbsfleet United v Tonbridge Angels — Team-Based Signals
Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels — Actual Match Statistics
Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Ebbsfleet United's favour, shots finished 7-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Ebbsfleet United against 0.67 for Tonbridge Angels.
Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels Result & Final Score
Ebbsfleet United 1 - 0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 64%, draw 21%, Tonbridge Angels 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.