Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +26%
2.17/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.56
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-3 HT 0-3 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United HAZ
07.07.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United HAZ
11.03.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
12.11.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
23.04.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
14.08.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 5-1 HT 4-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 61% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 39%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.67 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 60%, draw 20%, Tonbridge Angels 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Dec 2025
00:00 Maidenhead United vs Slough Town Analysis →
15:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing Analysis →
15:30 Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
16:00 Oxford City vs Merthyr Town Analysis →
16:00 Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
16:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →