Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesham United v Hemel Hempstead Town — Team-Based Signals
Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chesham United squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Chesham United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Chesham United had 47% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 53%, shots finished 12-5.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chesham United and 1.00 for Hemel Hempstead Town.
What was the final score of Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 36%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.