Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.01/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.60
-39% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chesham United had 47% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 53%, shots finished 7-2.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 50%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
1 Jan 2025
00:00 South Shields vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
00:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
16:00 Oxford City vs Brackley Town Analysis →
18:00 Chelmsford City vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Torquay United vs Truro City Analysis →
18:00 St. Albans City vs Enfield Town Analysis →