Torquay United 1-0 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 31.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.84/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.32
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İNFAT
08.04.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-2 HT 0-2 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
26.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-1 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-0
AWAY Truro City
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Truro City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torquay United had 54% of the ball to Truro City's 46%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torquay United and 0.67 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Truro City?

Torquay United 1-0 Truro City in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 38%, draw 29%, Truro City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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