AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

AFC Hornchurch
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.6
Over 2.5
30%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 40% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
59%
+11.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
41%
-11.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Hornchurch v Tonbridge Angels — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -13%
0.58/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.53
-59% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
15.12.2020 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch FAK
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch and Tonbridge Angels shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels?

AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 36%, draw 32%, Tonbridge Angels 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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