Chelmsford City 1-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.19
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Aveley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
13.11.2023 Aveley Aveley 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
08.02.2020 Aveley Aveley 3-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-0
AWAY Aveley
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Aveley 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 46% of the ball to Aveley's 54%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.33 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Aveley?

Chelmsford City 1-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 50%, draw 25%, Aveley 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ BTTS No
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