Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

Hemel Hempstead Town
2-0 HT 0-0
Chesham United
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hemel Hempstead Town v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.65/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.28
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2025 Chesham United Chesham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-0
AWAY Chesham United
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of Chesham United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 50% of the ball to Chesham United's 50%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 44%, draw 28%, Chesham United 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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