Weymouth 2-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 23% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.81/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.52
+29% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and Salisbury shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Weymouth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Salisbury?

Weymouth 2-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weymouth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 43%, draw 29%, Salisbury 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weymouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weymouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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