Truro City 0-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 36% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.25/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
-11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Torquay United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
16.11.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İNFAT
08.04.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-2 HT 0-2 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
26.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-1 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
0-1
AWAY Torquay United
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Truro City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Truro City had 56% of the ball to Torquay United's 44%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Truro City and 1.00 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Torquay United?

Truro City 0-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Truro City 34%, draw 30%, Torquay United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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