Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +6%
2.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
+34% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Worthing
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Worthing Worthing 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
01.01.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-4 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
16.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing FAK
14.01.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
01.10.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-1
AWAY Worthing
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Worthing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eastbourne Borough at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 64% of the ball to Worthing's 36%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.83 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing?

Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Worthing in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 41%, draw 30%, Worthing 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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