Tonbridge Angels 0-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

Tonbridge Angels
0-1 HT 0-1
AFC Hornchurch
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tonbridge Angels v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.49/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.90
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 2-2 HT 1-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
01.01.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
15.12.2020 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch FAK
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch nicked a narrow win over Tonbridge Angels 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.33 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch?

Tonbridge Angels 0-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 34%, draw 29%, AFC Hornchurch 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ BTTS Yes
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