AFC Hornchurch 2-2 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
0.79/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.35
-41% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
01.01.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
15.12.2020 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
2-2
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
7 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch and Tonbridge Angels shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 0.50 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels?

AFC Hornchurch 2-2 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 41%, draw 29%, Tonbridge Angels 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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