Chorley 3-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

Chorley
3-0 HT 1-0
Buxton
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chorley vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chorley v Buxton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.27/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Chorley vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Buxton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 3-2 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
25.02.2023 Chorley Chorley 2-2 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
10.01.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON

Chorley 3-0 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
3-0
AWAY Buxton
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley ran out comfortable winners over Buxton 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Chorley made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Chorley had 45% of the ball to Buxton's 55%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chorley and 2.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Buxton?

Chorley 3-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chorley 40%, draw 29%, Buxton 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
4 Feb 2025
22:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Oxford City vs Marine Analysis →
22:45 Alfreton Town vs Southport Analysis →
22:45 South Shields vs Hereford FC Analysis →
22:45 Peterborough Sports vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
22:45 Brackley Town vs Needham Market Analysis →