Brackley Town 2-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

Brackley Town
2-1 HT 0-1
Needham Market
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Brackley Town vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.6pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brackley Town v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.28/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.64
-32% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.8

Brackley Town vs Needham Market Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Needham Market
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 1-3 HT 1-3 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON

Brackley Town 2-1 Needham Market — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
2-1
AWAY Needham Market
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Needham Market 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Brackley Town had 52% of the ball to Needham Market's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Needham Market?

Brackley Town 2-1 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 49%, draw 31%, Needham Market 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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