Needham Market 1-3 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.36/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.95
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-3
AWAY Brackley Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town saw off Needham Market 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Needham Market had 56% of the ball to Brackley Town's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Brackley Town?

Needham Market 1-3 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 27%, draw 31%, Brackley Town 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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