Torquay United 2-1 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.72
2-3 Goals
48%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+13.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.91/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.02
+16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Worthing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 3-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
12.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
2-1
AWAY Worthing
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United edged past Worthing 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Torquay United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Torquay United had 45% of the ball to Worthing's 55%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torquay United and 3.50 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Worthing?

Torquay United 2-1 Worthing in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 38%, draw 22%, Worthing 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
22 Oct 2024
21:45 Oxford City vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
21:45 Slough Town vs St. Albans City Analysis →
21:45 Welling United vs Enfield Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
21:45 Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
21:45 Farnborough vs Truro City Analysis →