Worthing 4-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.07/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+23% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torquay United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
4-2
AWAY Torquay United
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing saw off Torquay United 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 52% of the ball to Torquay United's 48%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Torquay United?

Worthing 4-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Worthing 52%, draw 22%, Torquay United 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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