Peterborough Sports 0-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.2pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.6pp
42%
Away Win
51%
-8.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 55%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.97/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.00
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 48% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 52%, shots finished 13-22.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 24%, draw 34%, Scunthorpe United 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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