Southport vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Southport
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
4-0
HT 3-0
Southport
İCON
2-2
HT 0-2
Southport
İCON
2-0
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
1-1
HT 0-1
Alfreton Town
İCON
Southport 2-3 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town squeezed past Southport 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Southport had 53% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 47%, shots finished 12-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southport and 1.67 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Southport vs Alfreton Town?
Southport 2-3 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Southport 34%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.