Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hemel Hempstead Town v Welling United — Team-Based Signals
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Welling United — Actual Match Statistics
Welling United squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Hemel Hempstead Town had 57% of the ball to Welling United's 43%, shots finished 15-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.17 for Welling United.
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Result & Final Score
Hemel Hempstead Town 1 - 2 Welling United in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 50%, draw 26%, Welling United 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) went the other way.