Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hemel Hempstead Town v Welling United — Team-Based Signals
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Hemel Hempstead Town
İCON
0-1
HT 0-0
Hemel Hempstead Town
İCON
2-3
HT 2-0
Welling United
İCON
1-2
HT 0-0
Hemel Hempstead Town
İCON
1-1
HT 1-0
Welling United
İCON
1-2
HT 0-1
Welling United
İCON
Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Welling United — Actual Match Statistics
Welling United squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 57% of the ball to Welling United's 43%, shots finished 15-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.17 for Welling United.
What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United?
Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Welling United in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Welling United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 46%, draw 25%, Welling United 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) went the other way.