Banbury United 1-0 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 32% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 60%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
0.78/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-37% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-0 HT 3-0 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
29.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-3 HT 1-2 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
24.09.2022 Banbury United Banbury United 2-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banbury United
1-0
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United edged past Scarborough Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Banbury United had 43% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Banbury United and 2.33 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Scarborough Athletic?

Banbury United 1-0 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 26%, draw 27%, Scarborough Athletic 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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