St. Albans City 1-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.67
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-1
AWAY Yeovil
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City and Yeovil shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Yeovil at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Albans City had 47% of the ball to Yeovil's 53%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Yeovil?

St. Albans City 1-1 Yeovil in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 32%, draw 26%, Yeovil 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeovil), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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