Tamworth 2-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
1.98/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.38
+5% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
2-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth beat Spennymoor Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 61% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 39%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Spennymoor Town?

Tamworth 2-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 54%, draw 23%, Spennymoor Town 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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