Oxford City 1-3 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.81/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.42
+29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-3
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town saw off Oxford City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oxford City had 59% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 41%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Kings Lynn Town?

Oxford City 1-3 Kings Lynn Town in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 41%, draw 30%, Kings Lynn Town 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Under 2.5
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