Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.67
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.09.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-1 HT 2-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
14.11.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-1 HT 3-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels nicked a narrow win over Dorking Wanderers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 28% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 72%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 2.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?

Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 32%, draw 26%, Dorking Wanderers 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5
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