Farnborough 1-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.50/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.62
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Truro City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-2 HT 1-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
28.08.2023 Truro City Truro City 3-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
11.12.2021 Truro City Truro City 2-2 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-0 HT 2-0 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-1
AWAY Truro City
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and Truro City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Farnborough had 70% of the ball to Truro City's 30%, shots finished 27-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Farnborough and 1.75 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Truro City?

Farnborough 1-1 Truro City in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 45%, draw 23%, Truro City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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