Alfreton Town 0-2 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.69
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Southport
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Southport Southport 3-1 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.01.2024 Southport Southport 2-3 HT 2-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
12.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Southport Southport İCON
21.03.2023 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
20.08.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Southport Southport İCON
26.03.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Southport Southport İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
0-2
AWAY Southport
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport saw off Alfreton Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 50% of the ball to Southport's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.33 for Southport.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Alfreton Town 0-2 Southport in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 46%, draw 28%, Southport 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
4 Feb 2025
22:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Oxford City vs Marine Analysis →
22:45 Chorley vs Buxton Analysis →
22:45 South Shields vs Hereford FC Analysis →
22:45 Peterborough Sports vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
22:45 Brackley Town vs Needham Market Analysis →