Oxford City 1-0 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 33% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.61/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.47
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Marine Marine 1-1 HT 1-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-0
AWAY Marine
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City nicked a narrow win over Marine 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Oxford City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oxford City had 48% of the ball to Marine's 52%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Marine?

Oxford City 1-0 Marine in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 35%, draw 32%, Marine 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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