Peterborough Sports 2-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
73%
-20.1pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.9pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 12%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.71/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.06
+39% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Farsley AFC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
09.04.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
06.04.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
25.03.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
03.12.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
2-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports beat Farsley AFC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough Sports as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 63% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 37%, shots finished 27-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.00 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Farsley AFC?

Peterborough Sports 2-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 53%, draw 25%, Farsley AFC 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough Sports), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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