South Shields 0-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-0 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
30.01.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-3 HT 0-2 South Shields South Shields İCON
07.10.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
0-1
AWAY Hereford FC
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC nicked a narrow win over South Shields 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hereford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, South Shields had 69% of the ball to Hereford FC's 31%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for South Shields and 1.00 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Hereford FC?

South Shields 0-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split South Shields 38%, draw 25%, Hereford FC 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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