Hereford FC 0-3 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.60/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.98
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY South Shields
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
0-3
AWAY South Shields
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 52% of the ball to South Shields's 48%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs South Shields?

Hereford FC 0-3 South Shields in the England - Conference on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 41%, draw 28%, South Shields 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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