Scunthorpe United 0-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.51/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.81
+61% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
05.08.2023 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
0-1
AWAY Tamworth
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth squeezed past Scunthorpe United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 54% of the ball to Tamworth's 46%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Tamworth?

Scunthorpe United 0-1 Tamworth in the England - Conference on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 41%, draw 29%, Tamworth 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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