Chorley vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
1-2
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-1
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
1-1
HT 1-0
Chorley
İCON
Chorley 3-2 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Chorley had 44% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 56%, shots finished 7-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Chorley 3-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chorley 42%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.