Banbury United 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Jan 2024

Banbury United
2-1 HT 2-0
Darlington 1883
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Banbury United vs Darlington 1883 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 34% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Banbury United v Darlington 1883 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.75/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.21
-45% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Banbury United vs Darlington 1883 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.03.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
20.08.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 1-1 Banbury United Banbury United İCON

Banbury United 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banbury United
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United edged past Darlington 1883 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Banbury United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banbury United had 42% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Banbury United and 0.50 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Darlington 1883?

Banbury United 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 36%, draw 32%, Darlington 1883 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banbury United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banbury United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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