Southport vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Southport
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
4-0
HT 3-0
Southport
İCON
2-2
HT 0-2
Southport
İCON
2-0
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
Southport 3-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Southport got the better of Alfreton Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Southport had 51% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 49%, shots finished 14-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southport and 2.00 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Southport vs Alfreton Town?
Southport 3-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southport 32%, draw 27%, Alfreton Town 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.