Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-2
AWAY Salisbury
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Salisbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 54% of the ball to Salisbury's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 40%, draw 29%, Salisbury 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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