Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

Peterborough Sports
0-1 HT 0-0
Chorley
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Peterborough Sports vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.3pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.9pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough Sports v Chorley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
0.98/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.06
-21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Peterborough Sports vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chorley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Chorley Chorley 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
22.04.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
22.10.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-1
AWAY Chorley
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley edged past Peterborough Sports 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (26% / 35% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chorley found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 46% of the ball to Chorley's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.00 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Chorley?

Peterborough Sports 0-1 Chorley in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 26%, draw 35%, Chorley 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
10 Aug 2024
17:00 Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Warrington Town Analysis →
17:00 Curzon Ashton vs Needham Market Analysis →
17:00 Rushall Olympic vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Analysis →
17:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury Analysis →